← Explore · Market 2849008
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
29.5% implied · bid 29.0¢ · ask 30.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 30.0%, down 6.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability30.0%
Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 30.0¢ / 29.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.4%)
Change 24h-6.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,277
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$861 / $332
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.50
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d4.73pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 52d 21h.
Time to resolve52d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%