← Explore · Market 2849065
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
0.4% implied · bid 0.3¢ · ask 0.5¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.6%, down 4.6pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability0.6%
Bid / ask / mid0.3¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.2¢ (50.0%)
Change 24h-4.60pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$134,858
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,724 / $2,756
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)11
Liquidity score51.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 12 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.89
RSI (14, hourly)12.2
Realized vol 7d1.26pt
Change 1h-0.85pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 20h.
Time to resolve0d 20h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%