← Explore · Market 2849420
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in September?
6.0% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 7.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (33.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$148 / $149
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 46 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.69
RSI (14, hourly)46.2
Realized vol 7d0.27pt
Change 1h-1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 36d 22h.
Time to resolve36d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%