← Explore · Market 2849423
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?
9.0% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 10.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 9.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$429 / $440
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.04
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.10pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 128d 22h.
Time to resolve128d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%