← Explore · Market 2850825

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

43.5% implied · bid 43.0¢ · ask 44.0¢

The market prices this at 46.0%, down 10.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability46.0%

Bid / ask / mid43.0¢ / 44.0¢ / 43.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.3%)

Change 24h-10.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 19% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,884

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,140 / $895

Imbalance19% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score46.0 / 100

RSI 54 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.05

RSI (14, hourly)54.2

Realized vol 7d2.67pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 51d 21h.

Time to resolve51d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%