← Explore · Market 2852999
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
95.0% implied · bid 93.0¢ · ask 97.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 93.0%, up 45.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
Implied probability93.0%
Bid / ask / mid93.0¢ / 97.0¢ / 95.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (4.2%)
Change 24h+45.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 32/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$8,143
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,012 / $2,091
Imbalance50% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score31.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 86 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.49
RSI (14, hourly)86.4
Realized vol 7d9.57pt
Change 1h+54.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 1h.
Time to resolve0d 1h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%