← Explore · Market 2853039

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

7.5% implied · bid 5.2¢ · ask 9.9¢

The market prices this at 5.2%, down 39.0pt over 24h, on a 4.7¢ spread.

Implied probability5.2%

Bid / ask / mid5.2¢ / 9.9¢ / 7.5¢

Spread4.7¢ (62.3%)

Change 24h-38.95pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 27/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,030

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$144 / $163

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score26.7 / 100

RSI 85 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.69

RSI (14, hourly)84.7

Realized vol 7d3.89pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 7d 21h.

Time to resolve7d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%