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Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?

10.0% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 12.0¢

The market prices this at 9.0%, down 9.5pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability9.0%

Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 10.0¢

Spread4.0¢ (40.0%)

Change 24h-9.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$175

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23 / $36

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score30.0 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.19

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d1.86pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 14d 21h.

Time to resolve14d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%