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Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?

7.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 8.0¢

The market prices this at 8.0%, down 12.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability8.0%

Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (13.3%)

Change 24h-12.50pt

Change 7dn/a

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,963

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$575 / $711

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score45.6 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.39

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d1.73pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 7d 21h.

Time to resolve7d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%