← Explore · Market 2853059
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
13.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 14.0%, down 12.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability14.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (7.4%)
Change 24h-12.50pt
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,880
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$73 / $844
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.04
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d2.61pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 14d 21h.
Time to resolve14d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%