← Explore · Market 2854179
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on July 9?
63.7% implied · bid 60.7¢ · ask 66.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 66.3%, flat over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability66.3%
Bid / ask / mid60.7¢ / 66.7¢ / 63.7¢
Spread6.0¢ (9.4%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$68,716
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$30 / $137
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score20.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 66 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.47
RSI (14, hourly)66.0
Realized vol 7d11.46pt
Change 1h+48.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 1h.
Time to resolve0d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%