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← Explore · Market 2854182

Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 9?

0.4% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.6¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.9%, flat over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability0.9%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.6¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.5¢ (142.9%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$29,988
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $172
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score47.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 15 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.59
RSI (14, hourly)15.1
Realized vol 7d8.23pt
Change 1h-0.35pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 1h.

Time to resolve0d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth