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← Explore · Market 2861255

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?

92.5% implied · bid 92.0¢ · ask 93.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 91.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability91.0%
Bid / ask / mid92.0¢ / 93.0¢ / 92.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 78% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$2,625
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,649 / $2,436
Imbalance78% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.38
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d3.75pt
Change 1h+2.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 22d 2h.

Time to resolve22d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth