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← Explore · Market 2864284

Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan Kozlov

66.5% implied · bid 66.0¢ · ask 67.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 67.0%, flat over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability67.0%
Bid / ask / mid66.0¢ / 67.0¢ / 66.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)
Change 24hn/a
Change 7dn/a

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$417,011
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,092 / $13,034
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)6
Liquidity score52.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.56
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d19.66pt
Change 1h+2.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 20h.

Time to resolve6d 20h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth