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Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

36.5% implied · bid 36.0¢ · ask 37.0¢

The market prices this at 36.0%, up 5.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability36.0%

Bid / ask / mid36.0¢ / 37.0¢ / 36.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.7%)

Change 24h+5.50pt

Change 7d+27.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 72/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$103,141

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,224 / $44,597

Imbalance10% bid

Large trades (>$1k)10

Liquidity score72.4 / 100

RSI 71 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.15

RSI (14, hourly)70.8

Realized vol 7d1.08pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 0d 19h.

Time to resolve0d 19h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%