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← Explore · Market 2896080

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

67.5% implied · bid 67.3¢ · ask 67.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 67.3%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability67.3%
Bid / ask / mid67.3¢ / 67.8¢ / 67.5¢
Spread0.5¢ (0.7%)
Change 24h-1.55pt
Change 7d-22.10pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 75/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$72,025
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,989 / $43,234
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)10
Liquidity score75.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 41 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.81
RSI (14, hourly)40.9
Realized vol 7d0.98pt
Change 1h-0.55pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 0d 22h.

Time to resolve0d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth