← Explore · Market 2910438
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
2.5% implied · bid 2.4¢ · ask 2.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.5%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability2.5%
Bid / ask / mid2.4¢ / 2.6¢ / 2.5¢
Spread0.2¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h-0.45pt
Change 7d-7.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$313,856
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,521 / $7,374
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)18
Liquidity score59.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 17 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.11
RSI (14, hourly)16.9
Realized vol 7d0.44pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 2h.
Time to resolve7d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%