← Explore · Market 2911832
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
1.7% implied · bid 1.6¢ · ask 1.7¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.7%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability1.7%
Bid / ask / mid1.6¢ / 1.7¢ / 1.7¢
Spread0.1¢ (6.1%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-6.85pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 59/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$23,506
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12,196 / $6,393
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)6
Liquidity score58.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 35 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.00
RSI (14, hourly)35.0
Realized vol 7d0.21pt
Change 1h-0.25pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 2h.
Time to resolve7d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%