← Explore · Market 2914102
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
22.0% implied · bid 21.0¢ · ask 23.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 24.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability24.0%
Bid / ask / mid21.0¢ / 23.0¢ / 22.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (9.1%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$283
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$563 / $499
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.21
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.17pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 309d 22h.
Time to resolve309d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%