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← Explore · Market 2914111

Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

17.5% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 18.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 17.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability17.0%
Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-2.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,140
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,059 / $1,468
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.47
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d2.65pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 309d 22h.

Time to resolve309d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth