← Explore · Market 2915350

Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

100.0% implied · bid 99.9¢ · ask 100.0¢

The market prices this at 99.9%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability99.9%

Bid / ask / mid99.9¢ / 100.0¢ / 100.0¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+21.45pt

Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 100% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$13,026

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,296 / $0

Imbalance100% bid

Large trades (>$1k)4

Liquidity score53.6 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.24

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d1.10pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 0d 0h.

Time to resolve0d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%