← Explore · Market 2926628
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?
6.3% implied · bid 5.8¢ · ask 6.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.4%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.
Implied probability7.4%
Bid / ask / mid5.8¢ / 6.9¢ / 6.3¢
Spread1.1¢ (17.3%)
Change 24h-0.40pt
Change 7d-6.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$591
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$415 / $152
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 53 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.40
RSI (14, hourly)52.9
Realized vol 7d0.63pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 2h.
Time to resolve7d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%