← Explore · Market 2928824

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by August 31?

1.4% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 1.7¢

The market prices this at 1.5%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.

Implied probability1.5%

Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 1.7¢ / 1.4¢

Spread0.7¢ (51.9%)

Change 24h-0.15pt

Change 7d-0.70pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$353

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$20 / $60

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score46.5 / 100

RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.16

RSI (14, hourly)52.4

Realized vol 7d0.09pt

Change 1h+0.10pt

Resolves in 14d 22h.

Time to resolve14d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%