← Explore · Market 2928825

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 255M by August 31?

1.2% implied · bid 0.8¢ · ask 1.6¢

The market prices this at 1.6%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.

Implied probability1.6%

Bid / ask / mid0.8¢ / 1.6¢ / 1.2¢

Spread0.8¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.30pt

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3 / $113

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score46.1 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean5.24

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.11pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 14d 22h.

Time to resolve14d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%