← Explore · Market 2928826
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 240M by August 31?
0.8% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 1.1¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.4%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.7¢ spread.
Implied probability0.4%
Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 1.1¢ / 0.8¢
Spread0.7¢ (93.3%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.10pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $63
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 17.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-17.26
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.01pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 14d 22h.
Time to resolve14d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%