← Explore · Market 2941260
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
94.5% implied · bid 94.0¢ · ask 95.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 95.0%, down 2.4pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability95.0%
Bid / ask / mid94.0¢ / 95.0¢ / 94.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h-2.35pt
Change 7d+7.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 88/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,150
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$855 / $85,941
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score88.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 38 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.17
RSI (14, hourly)37.9
Realized vol 7d0.37pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%