← Explore · Market 2941288
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
93.0% implied · bid 92.6¢ · ask 93.5¢
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The market prices this at 92.5%, down 2.1pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability92.5%
Bid / ask / mid92.6¢ / 93.5¢ / 93.0¢
Spread0.9¢ (1.0%)
Change 24h-2.10pt
Change 7d+3.55pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 66/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,233
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,892 / $39,906
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score66.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 37 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.90
RSI (14, hourly)36.8
Realized vol 7d0.53pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%