← Explore · Market 2941315
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
97.4% implied · bid 96.8¢ · ask 97.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 97.9%, down 1.1pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.
Implied probability97.9%
Bid / ask / mid96.8¢ / 97.9¢ / 97.4¢
Spread1.1¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h-1.15pt
Change 7d+0.05pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 32% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$24,765
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,215 / $157,307
Imbalance32% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score94.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 46 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.69
RSI (14, hourly)46.0
Realized vol 7d0.39pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%