← Explore · Market 2941849

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?

8.9% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 10.8¢

The market prices this at 9.1%, up 1.7pt over 24h, on a 3.8¢ spread.

Implied probability9.1%

Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 10.8¢ / 8.9¢

Spread3.8¢ (42.7%)

Change 24h+1.70pt

Change 7d+3.20pt

Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$715

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$66 / $109

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score31.1 / 100

RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.22

RSI (14, hourly)62.7

Realized vol 7d0.44pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 63d 22h.

Time to resolve63d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%