← Explore · Market 2941850
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
86.6% implied · bid 86.1¢ · ask 87.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 88.4%, down 4.5pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability88.4%
Bid / ask / mid86.1¢ / 87.0¢ / 86.6¢
Spread0.9¢ (1.0%)
Change 24h-4.50pt
Change 7d-5.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$547
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$754 / $990
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 28 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.17
RSI (14, hourly)28.0
Realized vol 7d0.71pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 63d 22h.
Time to resolve63d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%