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← Explore · Market 2941851

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?

3.5% implied · bid 1.7¢ · ask 5.3¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.7%, up 1.3pt over 24h, on a 3.6¢ spread.

Implied probability2.7%
Bid / ask / mid1.7¢ / 5.3¢ / 3.5¢
Spread3.6¢ (102.9%)
Change 24h+1.30pt
Change 7d-1.20pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 32/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$85
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12 / $21
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score32.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 54 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.58
RSI (14, hourly)54.2
Realized vol 7d0.55pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 63d 22h.

Time to resolve63d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth