← Explore · Market 2941851
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
3.5% implied · bid 1.7¢ · ask 5.3¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.7%, up 1.3pt over 24h, on a 3.6¢ spread.
Implied probability2.7%
Bid / ask / mid1.7¢ / 5.3¢ / 3.5¢
Spread3.6¢ (102.9%)
Change 24h+1.30pt
Change 7d-1.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 32/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$85
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12 / $21
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score32.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 54 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.58
RSI (14, hourly)54.2
Realized vol 7d0.55pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 63d 22h.
Time to resolve63d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%