← Explore · Market 2952493
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
97.4% implied · bid 97.3¢ · ask 97.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 97.2%, up 0.6pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability97.2%
Bid / ask / mid97.3¢ / 97.4¢ / 97.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+0.55pt
Change 7d+3.85pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 100/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$14,243
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$62,732 / $2,605,684
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score99.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 71 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.44
RSI (14, hourly)71.4
Realized vol 7d0.21pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 22h.
Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%