← Explore · Market 2954946

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?

94.7% implied · bid 94.2¢ · ask 95.2¢

The market prices this at 95.4%, up 1.6pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability95.4%

Bid / ask / mid94.2¢ / 95.2¢ / 94.7¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)

Change 24h+1.65pt

Change 7d-0.90pt

Deep and tight (score 83/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,679

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,289 / $67,839

Imbalance6% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score83.1 / 100

RSI 88 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.50

RSI (14, hourly)87.9

Realized vol 7d0.58pt

Change 1h+0.10pt

Resolves in 5d 22h.

Time to resolve5d 22h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%