← Explore · Market 2955043

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?

98.3% implied · bid 98.2¢ · ask 98.4¢

The market prices this at 98.4%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability98.4%

Bid / ask / mid98.2¢ / 98.4¢ / 98.3¢

Spread0.2¢ (0.2%)

Change 24h+0.20pt

Change 7d+0.75pt

Moderately liquid (score 61/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 63% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$3,855

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$11,351 / $13,069

Imbalance63% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score61.2 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.50

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.21pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 5d 23h.

Time to resolve5d 23h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%