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← Explore · Market 2966559

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?

90.5% implied · bid 89.0¢ · ask 92.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 89.0%, up 24.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability89.0%
Bid / ask / mid89.0¢ / 92.0¢ / 90.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.3%)
Change 24h+24.00pt
Change 7d+32.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 35% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$64,112
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$770 / $913
Imbalance35% bid
Large trades (>$1k)6
Liquidity score35.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 97 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.19
RSI (14, hourly)96.9
Realized vol 7d2.47pt
Change 1h+1.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 20h.

Time to resolve6d 20h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth