← Explore · Market 2966560
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
7.9% implied · bid 6.5¢ · ask 9.3¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.9%, down 25.4pt over 24h, on a 2.8¢ spread.
Implied probability7.9%
Bid / ask / mid6.5¢ / 9.3¢ / 7.9¢
Spread2.8¢ (35.4%)
Change 24h-25.35pt
Change 7d-33.65pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$62,714
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$510 / $129
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)11
Liquidity score36.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 10 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.45
RSI (14, hourly)10.5
Realized vol 7d2.48pt
Change 1h-2.70pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 20h.
Time to resolve6d 20h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%