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Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?

78.1% implied · bid 78.1¢ · ask 78.2¢

The market prices this at 78.2%, up 5.7pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability78.2%

Bid / ask / mid78.1¢ / 78.2¢ / 78.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)

Change 24h+5.70pt

Change 7d+3.70pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,110

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$109 / $1,241

Imbalance7% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score50.2 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.64

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d1.47pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%