← Explore · Market 3008494

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

91.0% implied · bid 90.0¢ · ask 92.0¢

The market prices this at 91.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability91.0%

Bid / ask / mid90.0¢ / 92.0¢ / 91.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (2.2%)

Change 24h+0.50pt

Change 7d+3.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 73/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 62% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$4,207

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$55,480 / $10,005

Imbalance62% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score72.7 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.35

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.24pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 36d 22h.

Time to resolve36d 22h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%