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← Explore · Market 3008606

Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?

55.6% implied · bid 55.6¢ · ask 55.7¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 55.7%, up 1.6pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability55.7%
Bid / ask / mid55.6¢ / 55.7¢ / 55.6¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.2%)
Change 24h+1.65pt
Change 7d+42.30pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,231
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$93 / $82
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 42 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.01
RSI (14, hourly)42.3
Realized vol 7d3.82pt
Change 1h+0.25pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 6d 22h.

Time to resolve6d 22h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth