← Explore · Market 3013350
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
29.5% implied · bid 29.0¢ · ask 30.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 30.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability30.0%
Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 30.0¢ / 29.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.4%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-46.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$35,028
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,557 / $3,764
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score48.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.98
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d1.65pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 4h.
Time to resolve129d 4h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%