← Explore · Market 3081879
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?
4.5% implied · bid 4.0¢ · ask 5.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability4.0%
Bid / ask / mid4.0¢ / 5.0¢ / 4.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,496
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$936 / $743
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 89803521033549.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-89803521033549.78
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 3h.
Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%