← Explore · Market 3081880
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?
10.5% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 11.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability10.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,219 / $2,094
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.11
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 310d 2h.
Time to resolve310d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%