← Explore · Market 3091051
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
33.5% implied · bid 33.0¢ · ask 34.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 34.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability34.0%
Bid / ask / mid33.0¢ / 34.0¢ / 33.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.0%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 27% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$66,181
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$27,773 / $2,922
Imbalance27% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score60.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.84
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.56pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 127d 22h.
Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%