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← Explore · Market 3096412

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?

3.5% implied · bid 3.1¢ · ask 3.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.1%, down 3.0pt over 24h, on a 0.8¢ spread.

Implied probability3.1%
Bid / ask / mid3.1¢ / 3.9¢ / 3.5¢
Spread0.8¢ (22.9%)
Change 24h-3.00pt
Change 7d-5.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$21,887
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$894 / $3,865
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score48.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 18 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.93
RSI (14, hourly)17.7
Realized vol 7d0.57pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 3h.

Time to resolve7d 3h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth