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← Explore · Market 3102462

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?

7.5% implied · bid 7.0¢ · ask 8.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 7.0%, down 7.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid7.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h-7.50pt
Change 7d-11.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$124,276
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$329 / $515
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)10
Liquidity score45.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.48
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d1.58pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 3h.

Time to resolve7d 3h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth