← Explore · Market 3120760

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

14.0% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 15.0¢

The market prices this at 14.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability14.0%

Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 14.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (14.3%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7d+4.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,567

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,627 / $617

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score41.1 / 100

RSI 38 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.24

RSI (14, hourly)37.5

Realized vol 7d2.59pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 68d 2h.

Time to resolve68d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%