← Explore · Market 3120761
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
2.6% implied · bid 2.2¢ · ask 3.1¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.1%, down 1.3pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability2.1%
Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 3.1¢ / 2.6¢
Spread0.9¢ (34.0%)
Change 24h-1.25pt
Change 7d-0.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$24,549
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,237 / $687
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score49.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 11 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.49
RSI (14, hourly)10.7
Realized vol 7d2.94pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 2h.
Time to resolve7d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%