← Explore · Market 3128290

Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?

0.5% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 0.7¢

The market prices this at 0.4%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability0.4%

Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 0.7¢ / 0.5¢

Spread0.3¢ (54.5%)

Change 24h-0.15pt

Change 7d-1.15pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$930

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$53 / $142

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.6 / 100

RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.93

RSI (14, hourly)25.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 7d 2h.

Time to resolve7d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%