← Explore · Market 3128888
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
46.5% implied · bid 46.0¢ · ask 47.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 46.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability46.0%
Bid / ask / mid46.0¢ / 47.0¢ / 46.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-9.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 24% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$52,582
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,965 / $2,762
Imbalance24% bid
Large trades (>$1k)6
Liquidity score48.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.46
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d0.95pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 68d 3h.
Time to resolve68d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%