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Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026?

89.5% implied · bid 88.0¢ · ask 91.0¢

The market prices this at 93.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability93.0%

Bid / ask / mid88.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 89.5¢

Spread3.0¢ (3.4%)

Change 24h-4.00pt

Change 7d-1.50pt

Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 59% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$223

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$430 / $1,017

Imbalance59% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score35.7 / 100

RSI 36 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.04

RSI (14, hourly)36.4

Realized vol 7d0.66pt

Change 1h-1.00pt

Resolves in 4d 2h.

Time to resolve4d 2h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%